{"id":1661,"date":"2025-09-03T03:54:23","date_gmt":"2025-09-03T03:54:23","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.bearsavings.com\/blog\/?p=1661"},"modified":"2025-09-03T03:54:25","modified_gmt":"2025-09-03T03:54:25","slug":"bullish-and-bearish-months","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bearsavings.com\/blog\/bullish-and-bearish-months\/","title":{"rendered":"Bullish and Bearish Months: Which Times of Year Are Best and Worst for Stocks"},"content":{"rendered":"<div style=\"margin-top: 0px; margin-bottom: 0px;\" class=\"sharethis-inline-share-buttons\" ><\/div>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Stock market seasonality is a well-established phenomenon that has been observed for many decades. Certain months consistently outperform others, and others underperform.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Investors can use this information to set realistic expectations, avoid emotional mistakes, and potentially capitalize on seasonal weakness.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">In this post, we\u2019ll cover the following:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>The most bullish and bearish months of the year.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The reasons behind the existence of these patterns.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Practical strategies for how to use seasonality without falling into the trap of trying to time the market.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<div id=\"ez-toc-container\" class=\"ez-toc-v2_0_88 counter-hierarchy ez-toc-counter ez-toc-grey ez-toc-container-direction\">\n<div class=\"ez-toc-title-container\">\n<p class=\"ez-toc-title\" style=\"cursor:inherit\">Table of Contents<\/p>\n<span class=\"ez-toc-title-toggle\"><a href=\"#\" class=\"ez-toc-pull-right ez-toc-btn ez-toc-btn-xs ez-toc-btn-default ez-toc-toggle\" aria-label=\"Toggle Table of Content\"><span class=\"ez-toc-js-icon-con\"><span class=\"\"><span class=\"eztoc-hide\" style=\"display:none;\">Toggle<\/span><span class=\"ez-toc-icon-toggle-span\"><svg style=\"fill: #999;color:#999\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" class=\"list-377408\" width=\"20px\" height=\"20px\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" fill=\"none\"><path d=\"M6 6H4v2h2V6zm14 0H8v2h12V6zM4 11h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2zM4 16h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2z\" fill=\"currentColor\"><\/path><\/svg><svg style=\"fill: #999;color:#999\" class=\"arrow-unsorted-368013\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" width=\"10px\" height=\"10px\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" version=\"1.2\" baseProfile=\"tiny\"><path d=\"M18.2 9.3l-6.2-6.3-6.2 6.3c-.2.2-.3.4-.3.7s.1.5.3.7c.2.2.4.3.7.3h11c.3 0 .5-.1.7-.3.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7zM5.8 14.7l6.2 6.3 6.2-6.3c.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7c-.2-.2-.4-.3-.7-.3h-11c-.3 0-.5.1-.7.3-.2.2-.3.5-.3.7s.1.5.3.7z\"\/><\/svg><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/a><\/span><\/div>\n<nav><ul class='ez-toc-list ez-toc-list-level-1 eztoc-toggle-hide-by-default' ><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-1\" href=\"https:\/\/www.bearsavings.com\/blog\/bullish-and-bearish-months\/#What_Is_Stock_Market_Seasonality\" >What Is Stock Market Seasonality?<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-2\" href=\"https:\/\/www.bearsavings.com\/blog\/bullish-and-bearish-months\/#Bullish_Months_The_Best_Times_of_Year\" >Bullish Months: The Best Times of Year<\/a><ul class='ez-toc-list-level-3' ><li class='ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-3\" href=\"https:\/\/www.bearsavings.com\/blog\/bullish-and-bearish-months\/#November_Kicking_Off_the_Strong_Season\" >November: Kicking Off the Strong Season<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-4\" href=\"https:\/\/www.bearsavings.com\/blog\/bullish-and-bearish-months\/#December_Santa_Claus_Rally\" >December: Santa Claus Rally<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-5\" href=\"https:\/\/www.bearsavings.com\/blog\/bullish-and-bearish-months\/#April_Tax_Season_Optimism\" >April: Tax Season Optimism<\/a><\/li><\/ul><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-6\" href=\"https:\/\/www.bearsavings.com\/blog\/bullish-and-bearish-months\/#Bearish_Months_The_Worst_Times_of_Year\" >Bearish Months: The Worst Times of Year<\/a><ul class='ez-toc-list-level-3' ><li class='ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-7\" href=\"https:\/\/www.bearsavings.com\/blog\/bullish-and-bearish-months\/#September_The_Consistent_Laggard\" >September: The Consistent Laggard<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-8\" href=\"https:\/\/www.bearsavings.com\/blog\/bullish-and-bearish-months\/#August_Thin_Liquidity_and_Higher_Volatility\" >August: Thin Liquidity and Higher Volatility<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-9\" href=\"https:\/\/www.bearsavings.com\/blog\/bullish-and-bearish-months\/#May_and_June_Kicking_Off_the_%E2%80%9CWeak_Half%E2%80%9D\" >May and June: Kicking Off the \u201cWeak Half\u201d<\/a><\/li><\/ul><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-10\" href=\"https:\/\/www.bearsavings.com\/blog\/bullish-and-bearish-months\/#The_%E2%80%9CSell_in_May%E2%80%9D_Effect\" >The \u201cSell in May\u201d Effect<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-11\" href=\"https:\/\/www.bearsavings.com\/blog\/bullish-and-bearish-months\/#A_Month-by-Month_Breakdown_of_S_P_500_Returns\" >A Month-by-Month Breakdown of S&amp;P 500 Returns<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-12\" href=\"https:\/\/www.bearsavings.com\/blog\/bullish-and-bearish-months\/#Reasons_Behind_Bullish_and_Bearish_Months\" >Reasons Behind Bullish and Bearish Months<\/a><ul class='ez-toc-list-level-3' ><li class='ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-13\" href=\"https:\/\/www.bearsavings.com\/blog\/bullish-and-bearish-months\/#Investor_Psychology\" >Investor Psychology<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-14\" href=\"https:\/\/www.bearsavings.com\/blog\/bullish-and-bearish-months\/#Earnings_Cycles\" >Earnings Cycles<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-15\" href=\"https:\/\/www.bearsavings.com\/blog\/bullish-and-bearish-months\/#Tax_and_Fiscal_Planning\" >Tax and Fiscal Planning<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-16\" href=\"https:\/\/www.bearsavings.com\/blog\/bullish-and-bearish-months\/#Market_Liquidity\" >Market Liquidity<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-17\" href=\"https:\/\/www.bearsavings.com\/blog\/bullish-and-bearish-months\/#Historical_Crashes\" >Historical Crashes<\/a><\/li><\/ul><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-18\" href=\"https:\/\/www.bearsavings.com\/blog\/bullish-and-bearish-months\/#Using_Bullish_and_Bearish_Months_To_Buy_Stocks\" >Using Bullish and Bearish Months To Buy Stocks<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-19\" href=\"https:\/\/www.bearsavings.com\/blog\/bullish-and-bearish-months\/#Final_Words\" >Final Words<\/a><\/li><\/ul><\/nav><\/div>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"What_Is_Stock_Market_Seasonality\"><\/span>What Is Stock Market Seasonality?<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Seasonality, in the financial markets, refers to seasonal or predictable changes in price that recur every calendar year.&nbsp;For example, retail sales typically spike in December every year because of holiday shopping.&nbsp;Something similar happens with the stock market.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The most well-known seasonal market adage is \u201c<a href=\"https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Sell_in_May\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title=\"Sell in May\">Sell in May<\/a> and go away.\u201d This means that, historically, the market tends to perform better between the months of November and April than it does from May to October.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">It\u2019s important to note that the markets do not necessarily crash in the summer and rise in the winter each year.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Instead, we are talking about probabilities and averages.&nbsp;If we look at decades of market returns, the data shows surprisingly clear trends.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Bullish_Months_The_Best_Times_of_Year\"><\/span>Bullish Months: The Best Times of Year<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The best-performing months of the year for the stock market are November, December, and April.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Here is an overview of each:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"November_Kicking_Off_the_Strong_Season\"><\/span>November: Kicking Off the Strong Season<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">November is an interesting month.&nbsp;Historically, it has one of the best long-term track records for stocks.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Since 1950, the S&amp;P 500 has generated average returns of about +1.5\u20132% in November, which is among the best-performing months.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">There are a number of factors that might be at play, including:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Holiday optimism and higher consumer spending.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Institutional investors repositioning their portfolios before the year-end.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Early indicators of the so-called Santa Claus rally often begins in late December.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">If we look at historical data, November often marks the beginning of a multi-month rally that will continue through April.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"December_Santa_Claus_Rally\"><\/span>December: Santa Claus Rally<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">December is often the single strongest month of the year.&nbsp;Roughly three out of every four Decembers since World War II have ended with gains.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">One unique factor that contributes to the market\u2019s performance in December is a phenomenon known as the Santa Claus rally.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">This refers to a tendency for stocks to go up during the last five trading days of December and the first two trading days of January.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">There are a number of theories for this rally, including:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Holiday consumer spending.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Positive investor sentiment going into the new year.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Fund managers reinvesting cash ahead of January inflows.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Lower trading volumes can lead to more exaggerated moves.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">For long-term investors, December has historically been a great month to stay invested.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"April_Tax_Season_Optimism\"><\/span>April: Tax Season Optimism<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">April is another standout performer in the annual cycle.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">In fact, historically April has generated average returns of +1.5\u20132%, which is roughly on par with December.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Possible reasons include:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Earnings optimism for Q1.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The start of new contributions to retirement funds and tax-related inflows in the U.S. ahead of the April 15 tax deadline.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>A continuation of a positive momentum from the strong November\u2013March period.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">For many investors, April represents the end of the market\u2019s historically strongest six-month period.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Bearish_Months_The_Worst_Times_of_Year\"><\/span>Bearish Months: The Worst Times of Year<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The weakest-performing months for the stock market are September, August, May, and June.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Overview of each:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"September_The_Consistent_Laggard\"><\/span>September: The Consistent Laggard<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">September has the dubious distinction of being the worst month of the year for stocks.&nbsp;Since 1928, the S&amp;P 500 has averaged a \u20130.9% return in September, which is the only month that has a clearly negative average.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Some explanations for this include:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Fund managers fiscal year-end selling.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Investors booking summer gains.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Seasonal geopolitical and economic uncertainty in the fall.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>A lack of strong seasonal catalysts, compared to other months.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">While not every September is negative, the long-term averages are quite consistent.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"August_Thin_Liquidity_and_Higher_Volatility\"><\/span>August: Thin Liquidity and Higher Volatility<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">August is another weak month.\u00a0The data shows flat to slightly negative average returns but with higher volatility than most other months.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Trading activity is typically lower as many investors and fund managers go on summer vacations.&nbsp;Reduced liquidity means price swings are exaggerated.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Investors are also often anticipating September\u2019s economic releases and central bank meetings.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">For active traders, August can feel like walking through a minefield.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"May_and_June_Kicking_Off_the_%E2%80%9CWeak_Half%E2%80%9D\"><\/span>May and June: Kicking Off the \u201cWeak Half\u201d<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">May and June are not outright disasters for the market.&nbsp;But they do kick off what historically has been the weaker half of the year.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Returns for both months are very close to flat on average.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The saying \u201cSell in May and go away\u201d comes from this pattern, which we will explore next.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"The_%E2%80%9CSell_in_May%E2%80%9D_Effect\"><\/span>The \u201cSell in May\u201d Effect<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The \u201cSell in May\u201d effect is one of the most well-known and best-documented calendar anomalies.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Since 1950, we can see the following average returns:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>The Dow Jones has averaged about +7% from November through April.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>From May through October, the average is just +2%, with many individual years being negative.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Again, this doesn\u2019t mean investors should all literally sell in May.&nbsp;May\u2013October markets have produced many positive returns, including some years with big gains.&nbsp;But over the decades, the risk-adjusted returns are weaker in the summer and early fall months.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"A_Month-by-Month_Breakdown_of_S_P_500_Returns\"><\/span>A Month-by-Month Breakdown of S&amp;P 500 Returns<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table class=\"has-fixed-layout\"><thead><tr><th>Month<\/th><th>Avg Return (%)<\/th><th>Win Rate (%)<\/th><th>Notes<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>January<\/td><td>+1.0<\/td><td>~60%<\/td><td>\u201cJanuary Effect\u201d boosts small caps<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>February<\/td><td>+0.1<\/td><td>~55%<\/td><td>Mixed results<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>March<\/td><td>+1.0<\/td><td>~62%<\/td><td>Q1 optimism<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>April<\/td><td>+1.5<\/td><td>~70%<\/td><td>Consistently strong<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>May<\/td><td>+0.2<\/td><td>~55%<\/td><td>Start of weaker half<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>June<\/td><td>+0.1<\/td><td>~55%<\/td><td>Often flat<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>July<\/td><td>+1.0<\/td><td>~60%<\/td><td>Summer rally<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>August<\/td><td>\u20130.2<\/td><td>~48%<\/td><td>Volatile month<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>September<\/td><td>\u20130.9<\/td><td>~44%<\/td><td>Worst month historically<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>October<\/td><td>+0.5<\/td><td>~58%<\/td><td>Volatile (crash years), but often rebounds<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>November<\/td><td>+1.6<\/td><td>~70%<\/td><td>Strong seasonal trend<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>December<\/td><td>+1.5<\/td><td>~75%<\/td><td>Santa Claus rally<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center wp-block-paragraph\"><em>Source: S&amp;P 500 returns since 1950, rounded for clarity<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Reasons_Behind_Bullish_and_Bearish_Months\"><\/span>Reasons Behind Bullish and Bearish Months<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">There are a number of reasons for bullish and bearish months:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Investor_Psychology\"><\/span>Investor Psychology<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Optimism around the holidays and the start of the year often boosts November and December, for example. Bearish Psychology often kicks in during September.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Earnings_Cycles\"><\/span>Earnings Cycles<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Positive Q1 and Q2 earnings reports help fuel April and July.&nbsp;Weak Q3 results often weigh on September.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Tax_and_Fiscal_Planning\"><\/span>Tax and Fiscal Planning<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">April gains are correlated with retirement contributions.&nbsp;September weakness often reflects fiscal year-end selling.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Market_Liquidity\"><\/span>Market Liquidity<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The summer trading slowdown in August leads to reduced liquidity and more exaggerated moves.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Historical_Crashes\"><\/span>Historical Crashes<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Historical events and crashes have given some months reputations.&nbsp;October has a reputation from 1929, 1987, and 2008, which make investors more cautious even though its average return is slightly positive.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Using_Bullish_and_Bearish_Months_To_Buy_Stocks\"><\/span>Using Bullish and Bearish Months To Buy Stocks<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Seasonality should not be used in isolation.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">It\u2019s not the case that, for example, every September is a disaster.&nbsp;Economic and market conditions vary widely from year to year.&nbsp;Some Septembers have produced strong double-digit returns.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Larger factors will often outweigh seasonality, such as interest rates, inflation, earnings, and geopolitics.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Market timing is dangerous.&nbsp;Missing just a handful of the market\u2019s best days can significantly cut long-term returns.&nbsp;Many of those days happen during months like September and October, which tend to be volatile.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">That said, we can still use seasonality to our advantage:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.bearsavings.com\/blog\/why-i-think-investing-in-the-snp-500-is-a-smart-long-term-move\/\" title=\"Why Investing in the S&amp;P 500 Is a Smart Long-Term Move?\">Long-term investors<\/a> can look for buying opportunities in weak months.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Traders can be extra careful during historically volatile months.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Retirement savers can smooth out returns by making regular, consistent contributions regardless of seasonality.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Final_Words\"><\/span>Final Words<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Stock market seasonality is real.&nbsp;November, December, and April are the most bullish months for the market, while September and August are the most bearish.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The trick is to use this data for context and expectation-setting.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">It is not a trade idea by itself.&nbsp;If September rolls around and stocks drop, you\u2019ll know that it is not unusual.&nbsp;You can avoid the emotional mistake of selling out of fear and see it as a buying opportunity.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">If December\u2019s Santa Claus rally happens again this year, you\u2019ll know it\u2019s just history repeating itself.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Stock market seasonality is a well-established phenomenon that has been observed for many decades. 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